This book is aimed at the reader who wishes to gain a working knowledge of time series and forecasting methods as applied to economics, engineering and the natural and social sciences. It assumes knowledge only of basic calculus, matrix algebra and elementary statistics. This third edition contains detailed instructions for the use of the professional version of the Windows-based computer package ITSM2000, now available as a free download from the Springer Extras website. The logic and tools of time series model-building are developed in detail.

Brockwell and Davis: An Introduction to Times Series and Forecasting. Christensen: Log-Linear Models and Logistic Regression, Second Edition. QA278.2.R38 1998. 519.5 36—dc21. Printed on acid-free paper.

Numerous exercises are included and the software can be used to analyze and forecast data sets of the user's own choosing. The book can also be used in conjunction with other time series packages such as those included in R. The programs in ITSM2000 however are menu-driven and can be used with minimal investment of time in the computational details. This book, like a good science fiction novel, is hard to put down. Fascinating examples hold one’s attention and are taken from an astonishing variety of topics and fields. Given that time series forecasting is really a simple idea, it is amazing how much beautiful mathematics this book encompasses. Each chapter is richly filled with examples that serve to illustrate and reinforce the basic concepts.

The exercises at the end of each chapter are well designed and make good use of numerical problems. Combined with the ITSM package, this book is ideal as a textbook for the self-study student or the introductory course student. Overall then, as a text for a university-level course or as a learning aid for an industrial forecaster, I highly recommend the book. –SIAM Review.

Torgovo razvlekateljnij centr dwg. In addition to including ITSM, the book details all of the algorithms used in the package—a quality which sets this text apart from all others at this level. This is an excellent idea for at least two reasons. It gives the practitioner the opportunity to use ITSM more intelligently by providing an extra source of intuition for understanding estimation and forecasting, and it allows the more adventurous practitioners to code their own algorithms for their individual purposes. Overall I find Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting to be a very useful and enlightening introduction to time series.

–Journal of the American Statistical Association.

You'll find the 'econ' back in econometrics with INTRODUCTION TO APPLIED ECONOMETRICS and its accompanying CD. You'll have the opportunity to replicate classic empirical findings using original data sets and will develop an understanding of the relevance of economic theory to empirical analysis.

The author integrates classic empirical examples and applications and builds toward a self-contained four-chapter introduction to time series analysis. The CD includes data sets formatted for STATA, Eviews, Excel, Minitab, SAS and ASCII, as well as an appendix presenting multiple regression in matrix form and another on treating portfolio theory and the capital asset pricing model.

Providing a clear explanation of the fundamental theory of time series analysis and forecasting, this book couples theory with applications of two popular statistical packages--SAS and SPSS. The text examines moving average, exponential smoothing, Census X-11 deseasonalization, ARIMA, intervention, transfer function, and autoregressive error models and has brief discussions of ARCH and GARCH models. The book features treatments of forecast improvement with regression and autoregression combination models and model and forecast evaluation, along with a sample size analysis for common time series models to attain adequate statistical power. To enhance the book's value as a teaching tool, the data sets and programs used in the book are made available on the Academic Press Web site. The careful linkage of the theoretical constructs with the practical considerations involved in utilizing the statistical packages makes it easy for the user to properly apply these techniques. Key Features * Describes principal approaches to time series analysis and forecasting * Presents examples from public opinion research, policy analysis, political science, economics, and sociology * Free Web site contains the data used in most chapters, facilitating learning * Math level pitched to general social science usage * Glossary makes the material accessible for readers at all levels. The first cutting-edge guide to using the SAS® system for theanalysis of econometric data Applied Econometrics Using the SAS® System is thefirst book of its kind to treat the analysis of basic econometricdata using SAS®, one of the most commonly used software toolsamong today's statisticians in business and industry.